Extreme Rainfall Changed Kozanköy

 

Risk Did Not Increase. It Changed Shape.

 

 

Kozanköy was once described as a quiet settlement.

It still is.

But it is no longer the same.

 

Extreme rainfall did not increase risk in Kozanköy.

It redefined it.

 

 

 

 

What Changed Is Not the Rain

 

 

Rain has always existed here.

What has changed is how it arrives:

 

• In shorter periods
• With higher intensity
• With repeated frequency

 

 

In low-slope, semi-rural areas like Kozanköy, this creates a new outcome:

 

Water does not flow away.

It stays.

 

 

 

 

What Is the New Risk in Kozanköy?

 

 

In the past, the question was, “Will it happen?”

Today, the question is, “Which repetition is this?”

 

Extreme rainfall has changed three things in Kozanköy:

 

• Gardens now hold water repeatedly, not temporarily
• Ground floors show traces not after the first rain, but after the second or third
• Moisture has shifted from a side effect to a permanent condition

 

 

This is not a flood story.

It is a pattern story.

 

 

 

 

How CAN Sigorta Reads This Change

 

 

For CAN Sigorta, what is happening in Kozanköy is not extraordinary.

But it is not insignificant.

 

Field memory shows clear repetition:

 

• Similar water marks on the same parcels over time
• The same accumulation points appearing after each major rainfall
• Damage emerging not during the first event, but after repeated exposure

 

 

This does not mean risk has grown.

It means risk has relocated.

 

 

 

 

Extreme Rainfall Also Changed How Insurance Is Understood

 

 

In Kozanköy, extreme rainfall did not only change physical conditions.

It changed how insurance is perceived.

 

In the past, insurance was considered a response to a possibility.

Today, it is discussed as a response to timing.

 

This distinction matters.

 

Because extreme rainfall does not create single incidents.

It creates accumulated effects over time.

 

Most of these effects:

 

• Do not appear in the first year
• Become visible in the second
• Turn into damage in the third

 

 

In CAN Sigorta’s field records, this pattern is consistent.

Damage emerges not from intensity, but from repetition.

 

That is why statements like “nothing happened” after heavy rain can be misleading.

The correct moment to evaluate risk is not immediately after rainfall, but after the next one.

 

In Kozanköy, risk is no longer sudden.

It is gradual.

 

And gradual risk requires continuity, not reaction.

 

 

 

 

Why This Was Written

 

 

Because the most common question remains:

“Did anything happen?”

 

That is the wrong question.

 

The right question is:

“Did something become habitual?”

 

In Kozanköy, extreme rainfall has done exactly that.

 

 

 

 

Final Observation

 

 

Kozanköy is still quiet.

But water no longer behaves the way it used to.

 

For CAN Sigorta, the issue is not rain itself.

It is repetition.

 

Because insurance does not begin with the first event.

It begins with the new normal.

 

 

 

 

Author’s Note

 

 

This article was written on January 24, 2026, the day extreme rainfall affected Northern Cyprus as a whole, based on on-site observations by Ada Olsun, CAN Sigorta’s Kozanköy Regional Representative.